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T-RECS
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Trended Real Estate Comparison Scores (T-RECS) compare current real estate markets with their closest analogs in history, to project their most probable trajectories going forward.

Read more about our T-RECS model here
Where will
rank amongst housing markets for price growth?

Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State
Arizona
Region
West
2021 Population
4,946,145
Map location of Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population1,548,359 homes
95th
Home Price$438,619
81st
Price Per sqft$254/sqft
80th
Lot Size0.16 acre(s)
8th
Home Size1,806 sqft
88th
2 Year Price Growth+20.12%
60th
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
25 years
88th
Population Age
38 years
67th
Household Size2.61 people
77th
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$75,731
73rd
2 Year Household Income Growth+11.54%
87th
Unemployment Rate
5.20%
62nd
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
+0.70%
67th
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
69th
Population Growth Score
38th
Price Growth Score
69th
Projected Annual Growth Percentile

Across the top 200 markets by population

3 Year Projected Rank:

189 / 200 ( 6th %tile )
Top 5 Historical T-RECS Matched Markets

1.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Year: 2012

Similarity Score: 88

2.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Year: 2015

Similarity Score: 88

3.

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

Year: 2019

Similarity Score: 88

4.

Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA

Year: 2020

Similarity Score: 87

5.

Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA

Year: 2020

Similarity Score: 87

Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population1,548,359 homes
95th
Home Price$438,619
81st
Price Per sqft$254/sqft
80th
Lot Size0.16 acre(s)
8th
Home Size1,806 sqft
88th
2 Year Price Growth+20.12%
60th
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
25 years
88th
Population Age
38 years
67th
Household Size2.61 people
77th
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$75,731
73rd
2 Year Household Income Growth+11.54%
87th
Unemployment Rate
5.20%
62nd
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
+0.70%
67th
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
69th
Population Growth Score
38th
Price Growth Score
69th