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T-RECS
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Trended Real Estate Comparison Scores (T-RECS) compare current real estate markets with their closest analogs in history, to project their most probable trajectories going forward.

Read more about our T-RECS model here
Where will
rank amongst housing markets for price growth?

Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State
Arizona
Region
West
2021 Population
4,946,145
Map location of Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population1,496,361 homes
95th
Home Price$384,815
69th
Price Per sqft$221/sqft
65th
Lot Size0.16 acre(s)
8th
Home Size1,802 sqft
86th
2 Year Price Growth+1.65%
13th
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
26 years
86th
Population Age
0 years
44th
Household Size2.61 people
81st
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$82,884
77th
2 Year Household Income Growth+15.83%
89th
Unemployment Rate
3.90%
59th
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
-0.95%
43rd
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
56th
Population Growth Score
83rd
Price Growth Score
39th
Projected Annual Growth Percentile

Across the top 200 markets by population

3 Year Projected Rank:

189 / 200 ( 6th %tile )
Top 5 Historical T-RECS Matched Markets

1.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Year: 2020

Similarity Score: 89

2.

Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

Year: 2020

Similarity Score: 89

3.

Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA

Year: 2019

Similarity Score: 88

4.

San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

Year: 2016

Similarity Score: 88

5.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Year: 2019

Similarity Score: 88

Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population1,496,361 homes
95th
Home Price$384,815
69th
Price Per sqft$221/sqft
65th
Lot Size0.16 acre(s)
8th
Home Size1,802 sqft
86th
2 Year Price Growth+1.65%
13th
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
26 years
86th
Population Age
0 years
44th
Household Size2.61 people
81st
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$82,884
77th
2 Year Household Income Growth+15.83%
89th
Unemployment Rate
3.90%
59th
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
-0.95%
43rd
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
56th
Population Growth Score
83rd
Price Growth Score
39th