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T-RECS
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Trended Real Estate Comparison Scores (T-RECS) compare current real estate markets with their closest analogs in history, to project their most probable trajectories going forward.

Read more about our T-RECS model here
Where will
rank amongst housing markets for price growth?

Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State
Arizona
Region
West
2021 Population
4,946,145
Map location of Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population1,547,466 homes
95th
Home Price$437,948
81st
Price Per sqft$253/sqft
78th
Lot Size0.16 acre(s)
9th
Home Size1,809 sqft
91st
2 Year Price Growth+22.43%
61st
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
24 years
91st
Population Age
38 years
67th
Household Size2.61 people
77th
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$75,731
73rd
2 Year Household Income Growth+11.54%
87th
Unemployment Rate
5.20%
62nd
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
+0.70%
67th
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
54th
Population Growth Score
29th
Price Growth Score
51st
Projected Annual Growth Percentile

Across the top 200 markets by population

3 Year Projected Rank:

179 / 200 ( 11th %tile )
Top 5 Historical T-RECS Matched Markets

1.

Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO

Year: 2011

Similarity Score: 89

2.

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Year: 2012

Similarity Score: 89

3.

Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC

Year: 2011

Similarity Score: 88

4.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Year: 2019

Similarity Score: 88

5.

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

Year: 2019

Similarity Score: 88

Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population1,547,466 homes
95th
Home Price$437,948
81st
Price Per sqft$253/sqft
78th
Lot Size0.16 acre(s)
9th
Home Size1,809 sqft
91st
2 Year Price Growth+22.43%
61st
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
24 years
91st
Population Age
38 years
67th
Household Size2.61 people
77th
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$75,731
73rd
2 Year Household Income Growth+11.54%
87th
Unemployment Rate
5.20%
62nd
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
+0.70%
67th
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
54th
Population Growth Score
29th
Price Growth Score
51st