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T-RECS
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Trended Real Estate Comparison Scores (T-RECS) compare current real estate markets with their closest analogs in history, to project their most probable trajectories going forward.

Read more about our T-RECS model here
Where will
rank amongst housing markets for price growth?

Modesto, CA
State
California
Region
West
2021 Population
552,999
Map location of Modesto, CA
Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population128,866 homes
40th
Home Price$463,167
82nd
Price Per sqft$285/sqft
83rd
Lot Size0.15 acre(s)
6th
Home Size1,571 sqft
39th
2 Year Price Growth+6.04%
24th
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
45 years
44th
Population Age
0 years
78th
Household Size3.08 people
96th
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$75,886
62nd
2 Year Household Income Growth+10.77%
51st
Unemployment Rate
6.90%
2nd
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
-1.30%
63rd
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
4th
Population Growth Score
22nd
Price Growth Score
71st
Projected Annual Growth Percentile

Across the top 200 markets by population

3 Year Projected Rank:

154 / 200 ( 23rd %tile )
Top 5 Historical T-RECS Matched Markets

1.

Tucson, AZ

Year: 2016

Similarity Score: 84

2.

New Orleans-Metairie, LA

Year: 2016

Similarity Score: 83

3.

Bakersfield, CA

Year: 2015

Similarity Score: 83

4.

Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA

Year: 2016

Similarity Score: 82

5.

Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA

Year: 2012

Similarity Score: 82

Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population128,866 homes
40th
Home Price$463,167
82nd
Price Per sqft$285/sqft
83rd
Lot Size0.15 acre(s)
6th
Home Size1,571 sqft
39th
2 Year Price Growth+6.04%
24th
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
45 years
44th
Population Age
0 years
78th
Household Size3.08 people
96th
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$75,886
62nd
2 Year Household Income Growth+10.77%
51st
Unemployment Rate
6.90%
2nd
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
-1.30%
63rd
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
4th
Population Growth Score
22nd
Price Growth Score
71st