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T-RECS
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Trended Real Estate Comparison Scores (T-RECS) compare current real estate markets with their closest analogs in history, to project their most probable trajectories going forward.

Read more about our T-RECS model here
Where will
rank amongst housing markets for price growth?

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
State
North Carolina
Region
South
2021 Population
654,012
Map location of Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population195,606 homes
50th
Home Price$382,492
70th
Price Per sqft$220/sqft
68th
Lot Size0.31 acre(s)
77th
Home Size1,737 sqft
80th
2 Year Price Growth+19.59%
55th
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
31 years
76th
Population Age
39 years
53rd
Household Size2.36 people
21st
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$71,601
63rd
2 Year Household Income Growth+9.64%
79th
Unemployment Rate
5.60%
50th
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
+2.70%
16th
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
94th
Population Growth Score
44th
Price Growth Score
46th
Projected Annual Growth Percentile

Across the top 200 markets by population

3 Year Projected Rank:

167 / 200 ( 17th %tile )
Top 5 Historical T-RECS Matched Markets

1.

Richmond, VA

Year: 2010

Similarity Score: 90

2.

Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA

Year: 2012

Similarity Score: 88

3.

Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC

Year: 2010

Similarity Score: 88

4.

Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ

Year: 2010

Similarity Score: 87

5.

Columbia, SC

Year: 2010

Similarity Score: 87

Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population195,606 homes
50th
Home Price$382,492
70th
Price Per sqft$220/sqft
68th
Lot Size0.31 acre(s)
77th
Home Size1,737 sqft
80th
2 Year Price Growth+19.59%
55th
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
31 years
76th
Population Age
39 years
53rd
Household Size2.36 people
21st
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$71,601
63rd
2 Year Household Income Growth+9.64%
79th
Unemployment Rate
5.60%
50th
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
+2.70%
16th
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
94th
Population Growth Score
44th
Price Growth Score
46th