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T-RECS
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Trended Real Estate Comparison Scores (T-RECS) compare current real estate markets with their closest analogs in history, to project their most probable trajectories going forward.

Read more about our T-RECS model here
Where will
rank amongst housing markets for price growth?

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
State
North Carolina
Region
South
2021 Population
654,012
Map location of Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population182,840 homes
52nd
Home Price$403,458
74th
Price Per sqft$226/sqft
68th
Lot Size0.31 acre(s)
77th
Home Size1,777 sqft
85th
2 Year Price Growth+18.00%
72nd
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
32 years
75th
Population Age
0 years
28th
Household Size2.32 people
20th
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$79,154
67th
2 Year Household Income Growth+15.63%
87th
Unemployment Rate
2.60%
93rd
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
-1.65%
81st
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
93rd
Population Growth Score
93rd
Price Growth Score
92nd
Projected Annual Growth Percentile

Across the top 200 markets by population

3 Year Projected Rank:

167 / 200 ( 17th %tile )
Top 5 Historical T-RECS Matched Markets

1.

Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO

Year: 2016

Similarity Score: 87

2.

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

Year: 2019

Similarity Score: 87

3.

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN

Year: 2018

Similarity Score: 86

4.

Oklahoma City, OK

Year: 2012

Similarity Score: 85

5.

Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

Year: 2020

Similarity Score: 85

Market Details
Percentile
Housing Population182,840 homes
52nd
Home Price$403,458
74th
Price Per sqft$226/sqft
68th
Lot Size0.31 acre(s)
77th
Home Size1,777 sqft
85th
2 Year Price Growth+18.00%
72nd
Demographics
Percentile
Home Age
32 years
75th
Population Age
0 years
28th
Household Size2.32 people
20th
Economics
Percentile
Household Income$79,154
67th
2 Year Household Income Growth+15.63%
87th
Unemployment Rate
2.60%
93rd
2 Year Unemployment Rate Difference
-1.65%
81st
ResiShares Market Factors
Percentile
Economic Growth Score
93rd
Population Growth Score
93rd
Price Growth Score
92nd